1,1 Primum quartam BPA Market FRENDIUM Analysis

In primo quartam MMXXIII, in average pretium Bisphenol in oriente Sinis foro erat 9.788 Yuan / ton, -21.68% Yoy, -44.72% Yoy. MMXXIII Ianuarii-Februarii Bisphenol in fluctuates circa sumptus linea ad 9,600-10,300 Yuan / ton. In primis Ianuarii, una cum Seres New Year atmosphaera, et quidam manufacturers ante festum ad sit lucrum row, in foro centrum gravitatis cecidit ad 9.650 Yuan / ton. Duo weeks ante et post fontem festival, quod downstream ad replendum positiones, et post festum oleum prices sursum coegi in industria vinculum nextage sursum, Bisphenol a pelagus manufacturers offer viverra est extraxerunt ad 10200- (X) CCC Yuan / ton, February Main Downstream Digestion Contractus et Inventarium Market circa pretium 10,000 Yuan angustiis. Entering March, the terminal demand recovery was slow, and the contradiction between supply and demand in the market was highlighted, coupled with the financial risk events in Europe and the United States banks, which led to the downside of oil prices to suppress the market mentality , In foro brevis atmosphaera est obvious. Downstream Terminal Recuperatio est minus quam expectata, epoxy resin onus primus oriri et cadere ad inventory, PC centrum gravitatis mollit, ad oleum prices et basic risu eventu ducitur ad oleum prices et basic risu eventu ducitur ad oleum prices and basic risu eventu ducitur ad oleum prices and basic risu events ad oleum prices and basic Risked in oleum prices and basic retractatione ad supprimere Market sensus, Bisphenol et downstream foro synchronization deorsum, ut de Martius XXXI, Bisphenol in foro pretium omnes per viam usque ad (IX) CCC Yuan / ton.

1.2 Bisphenol copia et demanda libra in primo quartam

In prima quarta MMXXIII, Sinis scriptor Bisphenol de oversupply situ est obvious. Per tempus, wanhua chemical tempus II et Guangxi Huayi bpa combined 440,000 tons / anni novae unitatum in operationem et altiore operationem erat firmum, quod auctus foro. Downstream epoxy resinae est basically idem quod idem tempus annum, PC una cum nova productio facultatem et industria satus-sursum rate, ad consummatio incrementum rate est altior quam in demanda incrementum rate rate est altior quam in demanda incrementum incrementum rate est altior quam in demanda incrementum rate est altior quam ad incrementum rate Supple et postulant gap dilatavit 131,000 talenta in primo quartam.

1.3 A quartam de industria catena conduction data sheet

A quartam de Bisphenol in flumina et downstream industria catenae Related data tables

2.Bèphenol in industria praenuntientur in secunda quartam

2.1 secunda quartam uber copia et postulant praenuntians

2.1.1 Productio Providemus

Novum facultatem: In secunda quartam, in domesticis buphenol a fabrica non liquet novum productionem consilia. Affectus hoc anno scriptor infirma foro et industria prodest contracta significantly, quidam de nova cogitationes posuit in operationem quam expectata moratus, ut de fine secunda quartam, totalis domestica productio facultatem 4,265,000 tons / anno.

Fabrica damnum: Secundum quartam de domesticis buphenol a fabrica centralized overhaul, secundum Lonzhong Research, secunda quartam iusto overhaul duorum turmarum, overhaul facultatem 190,000 talenta, sed in circuitu 32,000, et damna, ut circa 32,000, et damna, ut circa 32,000, et damna, ut circa 32,000, sed in circuitu 32,000 the current Cangzhou Dahua device continues to stop in the restart time is unknown, the domestic enterprise manufacturers by the industry's economic impact of load drop (Changchun Chemical, Shanghai Sinopec Mitsui, Nantong Xingchen, etc.), overhaul The loss is expected to be 69,200 TONS, augmentum 29.8% in primo quartam.

Industria facultatem utendo: domesticis a industria output expectat ut pervenire 867,700 tons in secunda quartam, levi diminutionem 0,30% comparari cum primum quartam, augmentum 54.12% comparari cum MMXXIII. MMXXII secunda dimidium primae MMXXIII Domesticis Bishenol novum productio facultatem, in impulsum infirmi foro in primo quartam huius anni, quidam conatibus ad interficiam productio et reducere onus operationem, in mediocris capacity utendo rate de industria est expectatur ad pervenire 73,78% in secunda parte expectat, ut pervenire 73,78% in secunda parte expectat, ut pervenire 73,78% in secunda parte est expectat pervenire 73,78% in secunda parte est expectat ad 23,78% in secunda parte expectat ut pervenire 73,78% in secunda parte expectat, ut pervenire 73,78% in secunda parte expectat, ut pervenire 73,78% in secunda parte expectat, ut pervenire 73,78% in secunda parte expectat pervenire 7,78% , A annus-in-annus incremento de 29.8%. Erit pervenire 73,78%, usque 4.93 percentage puncta ex priorem quartam, in II percentage puncta annus-on-anno.

2.1.2 Net Import Providemus

Sinis a industria importat expectata ad contractus significantly in secunda quartam, sed adhuc a rete importer, maxime domestica pars advenientis dispensando exercitium adhuc existit, tum aliquam artifices in parva moles generalis, tum quodammodo de Net Domestica Volume expectatur pervenire 49,100 tons.

II. 1,3 Downstream consummatio vaticeri

In secunda quartam, ad consummatio ex products in Sina expectat ut pervenire 870.800 tons, usque 3.12% Yoy et 28.54% Yoy. This is mainly because: on the one hand, there are new devices planned to be put into operation for downstream epoxy resin, coupled with the industry's production reduction and load reduction in the first quarter to go to inventory, the production is expected to grow in secundo quartam; on the other hand, the PC industry's device operation is relatively stable, during which individual plants stop for maintenance, load reduction and some manufacturers raise load coexist, and the production in the second quarter is expected to grow by about 2% YoY compared with the Primum quartam.

2,2 Secunda quartam fluminum productum Price trend et impulsum in productum praenuntientur

Secundo quartam domesticis phenol acetone unitates accedant ad prohibere ad sustentationem, in quo novus unitatum et accedant ad lineam, claudendis in altiore copia leviter augeri ad primum. But as the downstream bisphenol A and other downstream also have maintenance or load reduction plans, while taking into account the relatively firm oil prices, propylene multi-process industry losses market downside space is limited, as well as changes in downstream terminal demand, the estimated Phenol acetone prices sunt relative firma, phenol prices sunt expectata ad range 7500-8300 Yuan / ton, acetone prices range 5800-6100 Yuan / ton; Sumptus Support pro Bisphenol a adhuc existit.

2.3 secunda quarta quartam foro mentis circumspectis

In secunda quartam, Bisphenol novum cogitationes sunt non available, duo occidere de domesticis cogitationes cogitavit sustentationem, alius manufacturers per foro supplementum et demanda et postulantium et permanere, in altiore et postulant et postulantes, in altiore et postulant et postulantium et pergit in altiore et postulant et postulantes Bisphenol est expectat ut amplio super primam quartam, sed altiore copia adhuc sufficit, maxime de foro expectat ad Bisphenol in circuitu sumptu linea et in probabilitatem fluctuations, maxime de intentione ad "videre magis cautus, potissimum intentio est" videre magis cautus, maxime de intentione ad "videre magis cautus operatio ".

2,4 secundi quartam Product Price Providemus

In secunda quartam, in foro pretium Bisphenol est expectat ut fluctuare inter 9000-9800 Yuan / ton. Supple parte copia expectatur leviter redigantur comparari prima quarterium ad impulsum plantae sustentationem et partem productio reductionem onus, contradictio inter copia et postulant in foro quam ultima quarta aut otium, pretium differentia regionum expectatur angusta; De post demanda parte, epoxy resina per novum fabrica posuit in operationem et iustum dimittere impulsum altiore productio expectat ad augendam; PC production in the second quarter is expected to increase slightly, flat coal Shenma, Hainan Huasheng device is expected to resume production or raise the load, other individual manufacturers have Inspection plans, as well as taking into account the impact of the subsequent market does not excludere facultatem onus reductionem; Custus, phenol ketone per sumptus centralized sustentacionem de fabrica et basic impulsum copia et demanda, prices sunt relative firm, firmamentum Bisphenol in adhuc existit; Market mentis, una cum secunda quartam de quiddam transitus, in foro mentis adhuc praesto. In summary, copia et demanda et sumptus factors, Bisphenol est expectatur currere angustam range fluctuations.