InacryonitaIndustria ushered in facultatem dimittere exolvuntur in MMXXII, cum facultatem crescente ad plus quam X% anno-on-anno et augendae copia pressura. Simul videmus quod postulatio parte non est bonum quod sit debitum ad pestilentiam, et industria sit dominatur in downtrend, cum splendida maculis difficile invenire.

Data Source: Goldlink

In domesticis acryonitrile foro in primo dimidium MMXXII ostendit a primo declinet sequatur per amplis oscillationis dominatur. Taking the Oriente Sinis foro ut exemplum, in mediocris pretium in primo dimidium MMXXII erat in RMB 11,455 / Ton, Down 21.29% Year-in-Year, cum summo in RMB 13,29 / Ton, qui occurrit in Ianuario, et in Iunii.

Pelagus factores afficiens foro sunt.

I. Supple incremento. 2022 is still a year of concentrated domestic acrylonitrile expansion, putting into operation 2 sets of acrylonitrile plants with a total capacity of 390,000 tons/year, including Lihua Yi 260,000 tons/year and Tianchen Qixiang 130,000 tons/year. Etsi export volumen resurrexit 12.1% anno-on-anno a Ianuarii ut, in copia et demanda usque ad develop laxe.

Secundo, ad recursu ad iuncturam ductus ad augeri pressura in officinam inventorum. Since entering 2022 it has always been in the stage of oversupply, enterprises and social inventory accelerated accumulation after the impact of the outbreak opened at the end of the first quarter, logistics in East China and Shandong basically stopped, and there was also a large area of ​​downstream reduction and shutdown, after the weakening of demand, acrylonitrile factory inventory pressure has been increasing, has continued to reduce the price promotion Policy.

Tertio, quod downstream industria demanda incrementum limitatur. 150,000 tons/year of new LG Huizhou plant was added to ABS in the first half of 2022, using only 37,500 tons/year of raw materials acrylonitrile, so the growth of downstream capacity is less than the growth of raw materials, so the average opening of acrylonitrile plants in the first half of the year is near 80%, which shows that the plant sales pressure.

In secunda dimidium MMXXII, Sinis scriptor acryonitrile foro et permanere sua humilis-gradu oscillationis trend et altiore temperatio spatii est secundum quid limited. In addition, acryonitrile novum productio facultatem augeri significantly in secunda dimidium anni, et moles suppleri commodis ut permanere surgere. However, downstream only ABS is expected to have new devices put into operation, the overall demand is limited, under the mismatch between supply and demand, acrylonitrile supply and demand contradictions will continue to increase, when the factory opening is also difficult to enhance, larger capacity enterprises will purchase negative measures. Cum acryonitrile plerumque sub sumptu linea est adhuc necessarium attendere ad trend of rudis materia propylene. Ex-Factory Prices (Market Prices) expectata esse in range RMB 10,000-12,000 / Mt in principalis regiones, cum alto punctum verisimile occurrentes in August.

In Sinis scriptor acryonitrile foro in secunda dimidium MMXXII, Feedstock propylene est principalis influendo elementum pro price fluctuations. Cum significant expansion productio facultatem in secunda dimidium anni est dimittitur conclusioni, difficile habere a significant price resiliant occasionem in secundo dimidium. Ideo pretium rudis materia propylene erit key elementum determinare pretium acryonhibii. Si propylene maneat prope RMB 8,000 / Mt, erit difficile ad acryonhibile ut permanere cadere. Autem, si propylene pretium continues cadere, acryonitrile pretium erit adhuc habere possibilitatem declinare sub pressura de oversupply.

Ex MMXXII ad MMXXIII, Sinis addere 1.38 million tons / annus of Acryonitrile plantis, et multi ex illis sunt conflans et eget integrated supporting cogitationes, quae sunt magis verisimile in operationem. Tamen, downstream tantum abs developing ieiunium, sicut acrylics et acrylamide in tepidibus, quae non necesse est forma oversupply. Expectatur in altera tribus annis, cum expansionem de acryonitrile facultatem, industria prodest prodest declines, et quidam de novis installations sunt adversus facultatem moras et in consecratione.

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